I usually don't cover junior lateral hires, except in unusual cases (like Knobe), but a lot of folks have e-mailed me about these folks, so they are probably in the same category ("unusually high-profile junior philosophers likely to get tenure soon" or something like that), and should be flagged for prospective students:  David Manley (metaphysics, epistemology, philosophy of language and mind), Assistant Professor of Philosophy at the University of Southern California, has accepted a tenure-track offer from the University of Michigan at Ann Arbor; and Seth Yalcin (philosophy of language, philosophy of mind, formal epistemology), Assistant Professor of Philosophy at New York University, has accepted a tenure-track offer from the University of California at Berkeley.  Manley is a Rutgers PhD, Yalcin an MIT PhD.