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  1. Peaceful IR Realist's avatar

    Yes, Ellsberg’s experience was in the 50s and 60s. I don’t know enough about these issues to have anything meaningful…

  2. Mark's avatar

    I haven’t read The Doomsday Machine, but wasn’t Ellsberg’s experience in the 50s and 60s? When Eisenhower was writing pre-delegation…

  3. Peaceful IR Realist's avatar

    On point 4, in The Doomsday Machine, which is based on the author’s personal experience as a RAND consultant advising…

  4. christopher ruth's avatar
  5. Mark's avatar

    In theory, the US retains a launch-on-warning *capacity* for the ICBMs. But I’m pretty sure they’re not on an actual…

  6. David Wallace's avatar

    On (4), and with the usual caveat that I’m not an expert here: The US has 400 land-based ICBMs, carrying…

  7. David Wallace's avatar

    In itself, not much. (A few quibbles: the estimates of deployed warheads are implausibly precise; the assessment of nuclear winter…

Bad signs for the academic job market in 2020-21

Many schools are already announcing hiring freezes.  As the article notes:   "the hiring freezes have implications for an already brutal tenure-track job market. Next year’s hiring cycle could be nonexistent."  That's probably too strong, but advertised jobs will be few and far between next academic year.   (Related coverage.)

UPDATE:  Berkeley just announced a hiring freeze today; I quote the announcement:

Today we are instituting a campus-wide hiring freeze. We therefore ask that you do not initiate any new searches and suspend those that have already begun. The Office of People and Culture (formerly central human resources) is completing work on a hiring-freeze plan which will be shared with managers and supervisors shortly. The campus will be making very limited exceptions to the hiring freeze, making only select hires that protect against a significant business disruption and/or a significant health, safety, or ethical compliance risk.  All academic hiring requests will be carefully reviewed by the Provost’s office.

We also ask that you carefully monitor expenses as we enter the last quarter of our fiscal year and hold off on any major expenditures until our budget picture becomes clearer. Please consult with your manager/supervisor or department/division head for guidance.

The University of California has tended to go through cycles of feast and famine, but they are clearly anticipating famine if they're taking this step now.

 

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2 responses to “Bad signs for the academic job market in 2020-21”

  1. Jonathan Kramnick

    Actually, I think that for all practical purposes, the academic job market next year and perhaps the year after will be non-existent. I think Minnesota's language is quite telling: "Exempt categories include those for COVID-19-related positions in direct care, research and support, along with mission-essential personnel and those positions fully funded by grants, foundations or other external resources." Beyond that, I suspect jobs will be scarce, and in the humanities vanishingly so. I'm not prone to prognostication, given especially the number of unpredictable variables in play. I say this just from years experience in job placement and from what I've already heard about Covid restructuring of budgets for the next two years.

  2. Leave it to UC to come up with an even more Orwellian name than “Human Resources”. “My consciousness remains unraised,” as Jerry Fodor once said.

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