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Purdue, a large, public research university in Indiana, plans to open this fall

And here's some of their tentative plans, which are instructive:

Our campus community, a “city” of 50,000+ people, is highly unusual in its makeup. At least 80% of our population is made up of young people, say, 35 and under. All data to date tell us that the COVID-19 virus, while it transmits rapidly in this age group, poses close to zero lethal threat to them.

Meanwhile, the virus has proven to be a serious danger to other, older demographic groups, especially those with underlying health problems. The roughly 20% of our Purdue community who are over 35 years old contains a significant number of people with diabetes, asthma [sic], hypertension, and other ailments which together comprise a very high percentage of the fatal and most severe COVID-19 cases.

We will consider new policies and practices that keep these groups separate, or minimize contact between them. Literally, our students pose a far greater danger to others than the virus poses to them. We all have a role, and a responsibility, in ensuring the health of the Purdue community.

The approaches below are preliminary, meant to be illustrative of the objectives we will pursue. View them as examples, likely to be replaced by better ideas as we identify and validate them.

They could include spreading out classes across days and times to reduce their size, more use of online instruction for on-campus students, virtualizing laboratory work, and similar steps.

We will look to protect the more vulnerable members of our community by allowing (or requiring, if necessary) them to work remotely. Like the rest of society, we are learning a lot right now about which jobs are most amenable to remote work, and about new and better ways to do such work.

We intend to know as much as possible about the viral health status of our community. This could include pre-testing of students and staff before arrival in August, for both infection and post-infection immunity through antibodies. It will include a robust testing system during the school year, using Purdue’s own BSL-2 level laboratory for fast results. Anyone showing symptoms will be tested promptly, and quarantined if positive, in space we will set aside for that purpose.

We expect to be able to trace proximate and/or frequent contacts of those who test positive. Contacts in the vulnerable categories will be asked to self-quarantine for the recommended period, currently 14 days. Those in the young, least vulnerable group will be tested, quarantined if positive, or checked regularly for symptoms if negative for both antibodies and the virus.

Again, these concepts are preliminary, intended mainly to illustrate an overall, data-driven and research-based strategy, and to invite suggestions for their modification or exclusion in favor of better actions. They will be augmented by a host of other changes, such as an indefinite prohibition on gatherings above a specified size, continued limitations on visitors to and travel away from campus, required use of face coverings and other protective equipment, frequent if not daily deep cleaning of facilities, and so forth.

For earlier discussion, see this.

(Thanks to Michael Weisberg for the pointer.)

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20 responses to “Purdue, a large, public research university in Indiana, plans to open this fall”

  1. My undergrad degree is from Purdue. The noted "uniqueness" is that West Lafayette/Lafayette is parked in a vast corn field stretching from Indianapolis to the south side of Chicago. It is also a highly ranked Tier 1 research school. Under this logic, "college town" schools such as Texas A&M and Penn State might follow suit. Also, Purdue along with Indiana University are the pillars of the statewide University system with community campuses across the state. Does this mean that, for example Purdue Calumet, which is just south of Chicago, opens too?

  2. Texas A&M doesn't quite match these characteristics. Wikipedia tells me that West Lafayette has a population of about 30,000, and Lafayette is about 70,000. Meanwhile, College Station, TX has over 100,000, and Bryan is close to that. Furthermore, south College Station (where many faculty live) is also a neighborhood that is popular with commuters to Houston. I don't know if Lafayette/West Lafayette have as many commuters to Chicago and Indianapolis.

    I'd be interested to see how Purdue plans to protect its more vulnerable faculty members from exposure to students, but I suspect it would all be a little bit harder here at Texas A&M.

  3. Given low levels of immunity to Covid-19, the ease of spread, and the non-zero death rate (Purdue's materials say it's "near zero," which of course is not zero. I've seen estimates as high as .2% in the 10-35 crowd), this could be a disaster. Purdue has 40,000 students. If Covid-19 spread through the entire population (i.e., a super-spreading event occurs without being noticed for a few weeks), that could mean up to 80 deaths. Models showing the interconnectedness of university populations make it plausible that a super-spreading event could take place before anyone was aware of it.

  4. A closer look at Wikipedia reveals that the 2010 census put the Lafayette metro area at 235,000 people and the Bryan-College Station metro at 255,000 at that time. Google maps indicates Lafayette is closer to Indianapolis (and not much further from Chicago) than College Station is to Houston. They're both large public R1 universities. So, Robert Lee's comparison seems quite appropriate.

    Regardless, the Fall 2020 semester is a long way away for any university to have concrete plans. We're four months away from Fall 2020 and yet four months ago we were all grading Fall 2019 final exams and that feels like a lifetime ago right now.

  5. how are dorms,cafeterias and the like (not to get into football stadiums) going to be any safer then our exploding meat-packing plants here in Iowa?

  6. Perhaps it's because all of those proposals are tenuous and preliminary, or perhaps it's because people just feel grateful to still have jobs, but something that surprises me around these kinds of announcements is what little discussion there is of what the implementation of some of these plans will mean for those of us charged with the responsibility of teaching. I'm not so much talking about things like what it will mean for us to be at the frontline with students, but more what it will mean to have our working conditions and duties altered so radically. It is not clear to me how someone hired into a 40-40-20 position will be able to devote 40% of their time to research if they are going to campus to teach 4 days a week instead of two, teaching twice as many classes as they used to, doing it all over again for the students they are also instructing online, whilst making sure they are available for their students dotted across time zones. It all just sounds like the death of a research career, and the end of the very part of the job that makes so many of us want to be here in the first place.

    Every time I read various proposals about the Fall semester, I shudder at what they look to be suggesting for us (not to mention that lots of people will be expected to do this with pay cuts).

  7. I think it's because people feel grateful. 40-40-20 turns into 0-0-0 without students, and even sending the students home for half a semester has already wreaked havoc on university finances that will be felt well into next year and beyond.

    Don't get me wrong – I don't want to teach at 6AM four days a week. But I feel pretty damn lucky to be drawing a paycheck at the moment.

    As for the loss of research time, it's a problem, but most schools have pushed tenure clocks back, haven't they?

  8. If someone has to teach 4 days per week instead of 2, that will be because a class is compressed, so there will be weeks that would have been devoted to teaching that will now have no teaching duties.

  9. Bear in mind that Purdue's President is Mitch Daniels, former OMB Director in the Bush II administration. One of those who thought the invasion of Iraq would be cheap. Numbers aren't his strong suit.

  10. I confess I think his proposal is admirably sensible, whatever his sorry political history.

  11. @9, Numbers may not be his strong suit, but I'm sure the Iraqi experience has upped his sartorial game and that counts for something in my estimation:

    http://insideoutborders.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/IRQ-040425-JPH-PS113.jpg

  12. The April issue of The Atlantic had an article about Daniels as Purdue President, pretty favourable and largely focussed on his not having raised tuition since becoming President in 2013 while increasing faculty pay and the number of full-time faculty. (Part of the trick: increasing enrollments.)

    And if some of us university faculty have to have a year or two of more teaching and somewhat less research, while other people are losing their jobs or businesses or having to risk their health working in medical or service jobs, I don't think we should do too much loud complaining.

  13. It's amazing how quickly proposals like the Purdue one become dated. Testing everyone who shows symptoms, as in the proposal, looks increasingly likely to be ineffective at controlling outbreaks because of the large number of asymptomatic cases. I know they will adapt but I wonder what exactly, beyond student recruitment, the point of making these kinds of proposals now is given the rapidly evolving state of knowledge. I assume every college and university in the country will be "open" in the fall. The question, and it seems unanswerable to me right now, is what form being "open" will take. We are all making many different plans for many different scenarios and I wonder exactly what is accomplished by announcing one of those as the plan that will be followed.

  14. Our daughter is a freshman at a private liberal arts college. In a recent conversation, she told me with quite a degree of certainty that she has no interest whatsoever in being a sophomore if it means remote learning OR being on-site in some kind of attenuated circumstances — such as those described by Purdue or those being considered by her own college president. She would take a semester off, or a year off. I wonder how many other students feel the same.

  15. Not necessarily. A proposal that has been floated where I am is that classes with high enrollments are broken down into a series of smaller classes: freshman I, freshman II, Juniors etc. This will allow for social distancing. Faculty will need to be on hand to teach the one class to multiple different groups across different days. It sounds like a logistical nightmare to me, but this has been floated as an alternative to a compressed semester model.

  16. Robert,
    I think your daughter is being sensible. Leave aside the fact that she is at a private liberal arts college, where the tuition is probably quite high. Our students deserve a proper classroom experience. That is how we work our magic, and the classroom plays a crucial role in most students' learning.

  17. Keith Whittington

    Many undergraduates might be tempted to take a semester or year off, but I believe most universities require permission to do so, unless the student simply wants to withdraw and reapply for admission at some point in the future. I'm betting most universities will reject requests for temporary leaves, except in extraordinary circumstances.

  18. I don't think that colleges are going to be able to say no to students who don't want to return for health reasons. If students are prepared to take a year off, they might also be willing simply to transfer elsewhere to evade a requirement to return. Colleges will be desperate for transfers if students number are down, so they'll find as good a place or better.

    What students might not fully appreciate is the possibility that their college won't be there, or won't be the same, if a substantial number of students don't return. Lots of small private colleges are already in financial crisis. If their student numbers are substantially down, there will be layoffs and program cuts sooner than students might expect.

  19. I imagine that some students and parents worried about health might be more comfortable with a commuter school, thus avoiding crowded dorms and dining halls. Perhaps colleges could organize to allow temporary “Covid transfers” so students could spend a semester (or year, if necessary) at a school near their home – then return to their original school when it’s safer.

    My daughter’s concerns are not so much about health (even with Covid around, I think she feels a bit invincible) but the quality of her college experience.

  20. When the economy is up and running, traffic on the interstate is quite congested from Indy to Lafayette. There is a fair amount of commenter traffic northward, but a great deal southward to Indy. Additionally we are forced indoors more than you are in Texas during the flu and cold season. People generally start getting sick in August when kids go back to school. While the population in West Lafayette is young, the population in Lafayette, not so much. Purdue is located on the border of the twin cities, so it’s a bit disingenuous to claim a young population.

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