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    The McMaster Department of Philosophy has now put together the following notice commemorating Barry: Barry Allen: A Philosophical Life Barry…

The issue isn’t the *total* number of cases, it’s the per capita rate of confirmed cases

That's one takeaway from the first chart in this NYT story:

Metro area Population cases Per thousand
Wuhan, China 11.1 mil. 50,821 4.59
Lombardy region, Italy 10 mil. 34,889 3.48
New York 20 mil. 43,016 2.15
Albany, Ga. 153,000 206 1.35
New Orleans 1.3 mil. 1,674 1.32
Seattle 3.9 mil. 2,543 0.65
Bridgeport metro, Conn. 944,000 607 0.64
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, Wash. 128,000 78 0.61
Pittsfield, Mass. 126,000 73 0.58
Detroit 4.3 mil. 2,468 0.57
Kingston, N.Y. 179,000 89 0.50
East Stroudsburg, Pa. 170,000 67 0.40
Show Low, Ariz. 110,000 43 0.39
Albany, N.Y. 883,000 340 0.38
Bellingham, Wash. 226,000 86 0.38

Although Chicago in recent news reports has been deemed a new potential "hotspot," its per capita rate of confirmed case was 0.262, about 1/8th the rate of New York City and half the rate of Detroit, for example.  That rate will go up, but hopefully over a long enough period of time to avoid catastrophe:  that's basically all communities can try to do at this time.  (For details on Chicago and NYC, see this post.)  (By the way, regarding Italy, it's worth noting that Italian officials, by their own admission, are not testing everyone, and that they think there are five to ten times as many actual cases as "confirmed" ones.  As with Wuhan and New York City, the issue is how quickly those cases came.)

 

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