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  1. Abdul Ansari's avatar

    I am shell shocked. Dale was an exemplary and creative moral philosophy, rigorously engaged with the most foundational issues across…

  2. David Wallace's avatar

    This is sharply at variance with my understanding of the situation. The general consensus for some while has been that…

  3. David W Shoemaker's avatar

    This is shocking and tragic news. I’ve known Dale since we tried to hire him at Bowling Green State way…

  4. Dan Dennis's avatar

    On the plus side, advances are being made in missile defence – including in laser technology (‘star wars’) – which…

  5. mark bernstein's avatar
  6. Peaceful IR Realist's avatar

    Yes, Ellsberg’s experience was in the 50s and 60s. I don’t know enough about these issues to have anything meaningful…

  7. Mark's avatar

    I haven’t read The Doomsday Machine, but wasn’t Ellsberg’s experience in the 50s and 60s? When Eisenhower was writing pre-delegation…

COVID risks while flying

Brian Leiter

Interesting, case study of ten-hour flight with one symptomatic passenger in business class:

We traced 217 passengers and crew to their final destinations and interviewed, tested, and quarantined them. Among the 16 persons in whom SARS-CoV-2 infection was detected, 12 (75%) were passengers seated in business class along with the only symptomatic person (attack rate 62%). Seating proximity was strongly associated with increased infection risk (risk ratio 7.3, 95% CI 1.2–46.2). We found no strong evidence supporting alternative transmission scenarios.

(Thanks to Dr. David Ozonoff for the pointer.)

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3 responses to “COVID risks while flying”

  1. tom

    Just a note that the case is from early March, when face masks were not mandatory. Interesting and worth noting, but of course flying under current conditions may (or may not) be safer.

    Reply
  2. Jeff Rice

    This came just in time for me to use in class tonight–to show how diseases spread and only when intervention occurs can you alter the distribution. This came alongside a book by Adam Kucharski called "The Rules of Contagion" about the not so new mathematics which goes into figuring this out. Altogether not hear warming but, Brian, thanks much.

    Reply
  3. yrn

    And now 6 months later they can look forward to being patted down by paws upon landing:

    https://youtu.be/LVt85TA6H2k

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